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Bloomberg analyzed the profit distribution of accounts in the prediction market, The results since the beginning of 2025 are as follows: - Over 100,000 accounts have lost at least $1,000, while accounts that have gained $1,000 are less than 50,000. - Profits are highly concentrated in a few accounts. - All other users have an overall loss of about $131 million. - A large number of small losses (in the range of -$10 to -$1,000) are very concentrated. - Large profits belong only to a very small number of highly active accounts (including bots). This situation is strikingly similar to how most people in the stock market "donate" their money to a few "smart money" players. #白宫预告战略BTC储备重大公告 #美伊谈判僵局：三阶段方案遭特朗普否决 #美司法部：不起诉加密开发者

Hong Kong Monetary Authority: Beware of tokens claiming to be related to licensed stablecoin issuers The Hong Kong Monetary Authority has issued a notice urging the public to be vigilant and pay attention to press releases from Anchor Financial Technology Limited and HSBC Hong Kong, which involve tokens claiming to be related to licensed stablecoin issuers. Tokens using "HKDAP" or "HSBC" as their code have appeared in the market, but these tokens are not issued by licensed stablecoin issuers and have no relation to the issuers. So far, both licensed stablecoin issuers have stated that they have not issued any regulated stablecoins in the market. The public should remain alert to any fraudulent activities or scams claiming to be related to licensed issuers or their issued stablecoins. If in doubt, the public should refer to the official announcements of the two licensed issuers. The public should also purchase or use stablecoins through regulated channels. $BTC $ETH $DOGE #白宫预告战略BTC储备重大公告 #美伊谈判僵局：三阶段方案遭特朗普否决 #美司法部：不起诉加密开发者

🚀 OKX's Heavyweight Night in Miami on May 4: Is AI Agent + XLayer Ready to Take Off? OKX will host "OKX Web3 Night | Agent States Miami" (an official side event of Consensus Miami) on the evening of May 4, focusing on AI + on-chain intelligence, with the slogan "Intuition Meets Data, Execution Becomes an Advantage." Highlights of the event speculation: • Live demonstration of AI Agent + possible new feature releases (Wallet autonomous execution, real-time strategies) • Human × Machine Edge session, focusing on automated decision-making and on-chain execution • High-energy networking + builder sharing Potential benefits for XLayer: • As OKX's own EVM L2 (OKB Gas), it is likely to be positioned as the settlement and execution layer for AI Agent • Possible announcements of developer incentives, Agent-specific grants, performance upgrades, and liquidity activities • Increased traffic and institutional exposure during Consensus, with TVL and dApps expected to see new catalysts This is not just an ordinary party, but a strategic night for OKX to showcase its ambitions in AI + Web3! XLayer, as the "new money chain" + AI infrastructure, deserves special attention. See you on May 4 👀 #OKX #XLayer #Miami #AIAgent #Crypto $OKB #白宫预告战略BTC储备重大公告 #美伊谈判僵局：三阶段方案遭特朗普否决 #美司法部：不起诉加密开发者

Everyone is negative, but only XDOG is positive, and quite a bit at that. Why is that? XLayer Long Yi is not just a casual name😀 #XLayer #白宫预告战略BTC储备重大公告 #美伊谈判僵局：三阶段方案遭特朗普否决 #美司法部：不起诉加密开发者 $BTC $ETH $DOGE

Brother Ma Ji opened a long position of $76 million in ETH, and it only needs to drop another 2% to get liquidated. Ethereum never lets anyone down 😅 Liquidation price for BTC 75164 Liquidation price for ETH 2222 Ma Ji trades in the opposite direction, a villa by the sea. $BTC $ETH #白宫预告战略BTC储备重大公告 #美司法部：不起诉加密开发者 #鲍威尔4·29议息：任期收官之战

I recommend everyone who hasn't installed OKX Onchainos to do it right away. You will open the door to a new world, where trading + scanning chains + filtering smart money is so simple🥹. There are also high-quality trading signals, which can actually be used with this system for smart money following. Moreover, it comes with an agentic wallet, which simply solves the problem of letting AI access the wallet while being afraid of wallet theft. Right now, there are no transaction fees!!!! Especially for on-chain meme players, if you want to start playing with AI trading and scanning chains, you can check out the data sources of OKX AI skills, which directly saves you the subscription fees for various data sources every month. You also don't have to piece together APIs yourself. I started researching on-chain meme AI automated trading since the New Year. Although I haven't achieved positive EV (my strategy isn't good), I am deeply impressed by this OKX system. If you haven't installed it by now, let me pat your head and say, install it!!! Installation: npx skills add okx/onchainos-skills Agentic Wallet MCP/CLI: https://web3.okx.com/zh-hans/onchainos/dev-docs/home/agentic-wallet-overview Onchain OS entrance: https://web3.okx.com/zh-hans/onchainos

"Make a big profit or get liquidated" — this position is on the brink 😬. This is exactly the kind of high-risk layout with no safe middle ground. Machibigbrother's leveraged long position of over $78.79 million has now fully turned into a floating loss; previously, this position held over $2.7 million in unrealized profits. The current snapshot clearly shows the immense pressure. Here are the complete details of the latest positions: Bitcoin Long (cross-account 40x leverage): Position size 556 $BTC (approximately $42.69 million), entry price about $76,229.6, profit and loss (PnL): +$312,650 (+0.73%), liquidation price about $74,959.3, margin about $1.06 million. Ethereum Long (cross-account 25x leverage): Position size 15,600 $ETH (approximately $35.65 million), entry price about $2,329.5, profit and loss (PnL): -$684,935 (-1.92%), liquidation price about $2,219.8, margin about $1.42 million. $HYPE Long (cross-account 10x leverage): Position size 12,888.88 $HYPE (approximately $52.7 million), entry price about $41.78, profit and loss (PnL): -$106,486 (-20.17%), margin about $52,700. Overall account snapshot: Total position value approximately $78.79 million, historical cumulative profit and loss (perpetual contracts): -$28.08 million, current return on equity (ROE): -15.04%, unrealized profit and loss (uPnL): approximately -$382,000. Therefore, although $BTC is barely holding up, the drag from $ETH and especially $HYPE is pulling the entire portfolio down. The real risk lies in: all positions are highly leveraged, with very narrow liquidation ranges (especially for $ETH), and no short hedges are in place — completely exposed to downside risk. We believe: this is no longer an ordinary trade, but a balancing act akin to walking a tightrope under immense pressure. If the market rebounds, this position could quickly break even... but if it falls further, the liquidation price is actually just around the corner. This is precisely why the phrase "make a big profit or get liquidated" is so apt — either a strong recovery or a rapid collapse. Address: 0x020ca66c30bec2c4fe3861a94e4db4a498a35872 $BTC $ETH $HYPE #白宫预告战略BTC储备重大公告 #美司法部：不起诉加密开发者 #鲍威尔4·29议息：任期收官之战

BTC Performance Analysis Today: 1. Price Trend Summary (Intraday/24h) Opening Price: Approximately $78,671 Highest Price: Approximately $79,420–$79,500 (early session attempted to break the 80k mark) Lowest Price: Approximately $76,500–$76,580 Current Price (around 5 PM EST): Approximately $76,800–$77,300 (slight variations across exchanges, Chinese sources generally show around 77k) Intraday/24h Decline: Approximately 1.5%–2% (pullback from the previous close, unable to maintain early session gains) Overall, today is a typical high-volatility oscillation day: there was a significant rise in the early session (testing the 80k resistance), but it quickly fell back, oscillating in the 76.8k–77.3k range towards the end. The inability to hold above 78k indicates significant short-term profit-taking pressure. 2. Trading Volume and Market Heat 24h Trading Volume: Approximately $38B–$40B, which is relatively high, reflecting active market participation but also accompanied by significant selling pressure. 3. Driving Factors Analysis Positive/Support Factors: Institutional and ETF Strength: Bitcoin ETF saw strong net inflows this month (cumulative approximately $2.4 billion+, maintaining a multi-week inflow trend). Mainstream ETFs like BlackRock are performing steadily, and MicroStrategy made another large purchase of approximately $255 million BTC today, highlighting institutional long-term bullish confidence. April's overall performance is impressive: as of today, the cumulative increase in April is still around 13%–15%, making it one of the stronger months in recent years. Negative/Correction Factors: Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Risks: International oil prices (Brent crude) are running high today (around $106–107), influenced by geopolitical tensions related to Iran (such as the Strait of Hormuz), increasing risk aversion, which drags down risk assets (including BTC). Technical Pressure: 80k is currently a strong resistance level, and after multiple unsuccessful tests, profit-taking and short positions dominate, leading to a rapid pullback. Short-term Sentiment: Discussions on X (Twitter) and in the market show an overall cautious optimism, focusing on ETF inflows and institutional purchases, but everyone is waiting for a clear signal to break 80k, currently in a "consolidation or digestion of gains" phase. 4. Technical Analysis Summary Key Resistance: 80,000 USD (multiple rejections, short-term breakthrough is difficult) Key Support: 76,000–76,500 USD (near today's low, if effectively held, short-term rebound probability still exists) Today's trend is a typical "high and then low" pattern, and it may continue to oscillate in the 76k–79k range in the short term, waiting for the next catalyst (such as more ETF data or macro data). 5. Summary and Outlook Today, BTC's performance is weak and oscillating; although there was significant intraday volatility, it remains within the strong channel of April. Institutional buying and ETF inflows are still the core positives for the medium to long term, and the short-term pullback is more due to geopolitical + oil price-induced risk aversion + profit-taking, rather than a trend reversal signal. If you are a short-term trader, it is advisable to pay attention to the effectiveness of the 76k support; if you are a medium to long-term holder, today's pullback may actually be a buying opportunity (institutions are still continuously accumulating). Future focus should be on oil price trends, more ETF inflow data, and whether it can effectively hold above the 78k–80k range. $BTC #KelpDAO救援收官：谁为漏洞买单 #沃什提名落定：首位持币Fed主席 #加密立法倒计时：525最后窗口

The big pie will definitely break 80,000 within 24 hours $BTC

⚔️ Technology-driven vs Marketing-driven: Why does Star Xu never promote Memes? Is it a vision or a shortcoming? There has always been a debate in the community: why does Star Xu (徐明星) never promote Memes? Anatoly from Solana has retweeted WIF, Jesse from Base has publicly embraced Brett, and BNB Chain has even personally promoted Memes. Yet Star only says, "No endorsements, no boosts, no pump and dump." The tech faction believes: this is true long-termism. The foundation of a public chain is security, decentralization, and real applications, not relying on promotions to maintain hype. The Onchain OS, Gasless, and AI Agent ecosystem of X Layer are the real moats. The marketing faction argues: without Memes, there is no traffic; without traffic, there is no TVL; without TVL, the ecosystem is stagnant. X Layer has been online for nearly two years, yet on-chain activity remains sparse, and the community's XDOG has not received a single "official acknowledgment." Both sides have their points. But the reality is harsh: technology determines how far a chain can go, while marketing determines whether a chain can survive until that day. Take Solana as a reference: its technology was once criticized for being "prone to outages," but the Meme season brought in a massive influx of users and developers, forcing performance improvements, and now it’s thriving. Base: relies on Memes like Brett to break through, then directs traffic to DeFi protocols like Uniswap and Aave. My view: not promoting is correct, but completely ignoring leading Memes is also wrong. There’s no need for exchanges to pump the market; just a little "official recognition" on Boost rankings, ecosystem funds, and social media is enough. The community doesn’t want charity; it wants direction. XDOG has endured for eight months on X Layer, with thirty-five thousand addresses and the deepest liquidity across the chain. What it lacks is not consensus, but that gust of "wind." On May 4th at the Miami conference, if OKX could mention, even slightly, that "XDOG is an important part of the X Layer ecosystem" beyond the Agent narrative, it might be more effective than a $100 million ecosystem fund. Technology is the skeleton, marketing is the flesh, and Memes are the skin. Without skin, no matter how strong the skeleton, no one will want to get close.