分析:加密市场持续震荡整理,期货市场看跌情绪升温

深潮 TechFlow 消息,4 月 3 日,据 CoinDesk 报道,加密市场持续震荡整理,比特币在 67,000 美元附近窄幅盘整,衍生品市场数据显示看跌情绪正在积聚。比特币自 2 月初以来维持当前交易区间,整体仍处于自去年 10 月延续至今的宏观下行趋势中,呈现一系列更低高点与更低低点的走势特征。
衍生品市场方面,比特币与以太坊期货持仓量在过去 24 小时内基本持平,交投清淡。Solana 期货未平仓合约攀升至 6500 万 SOL 以上,创 2 月 7 日以来新高,叠加负资金费率及 OI 加权累计成交量差值(CVD)信号,表明空头持仓正在增强。TRX 与 BCH 亦呈现类似的看跌市场结构。
比特币 30 日隐含波动率指数降至 51.28%,为 2 月以来最低;以太坊波动率指数亦跌至 72.55%,为 2 月 26 日以来最低。Deribit 平台上,比特币与以太坊看跌期权溢价持续高于看涨期权。Glassnode 数据显示,68,000 美元以下至 50,000 美元区间的做市商 Gamma 敞口为负,一旦市场下行,做市商对冲操作或将加剧跌势。
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