CryptoQuant:比特币 aSOPR 连续 9 日高于 1,市场持续实现盈利卖出

ChainCatcher 消息,CryptoQuant 分析师 Oro Crypto(@oro_crypto)发文表示,比特币调整后支出产出利润率(aSOPR)已重返结构性关键区域。该指标自 5 月 1 日起已连续 9 个交易日保持在 1 以上,表明市场正在持续实现盈利卖出。
aSOPR 用于衡量链上被花费的比特币处于盈利还是亏损状态,数值大于 1 表示平均而言被花费的 BTC 以实现盈利卖出,小于 1 则表示以亏损处理。此次信号的特别之处在于其持续性,连续 9 天的序列降低了噪声干扰,显示市场结构已发生实质转变。最近一次类似的连续盈利序列出现在 2025 年 10 月 19 日至 11 月 4 日,期间 BTC 同样经历了连续多日的链上盈利支出。
从市场结构角度看,这表明比特币正在吸收获利盘抛压,而价格结构并未立即恶化,市场目前表现出足够的承接能力。该读数不一定意味着进入狂热阶段,而是表明市场已从亏损实现环境,转向参与者持续实现盈利的阶段。只要 aSOPR 保持在 1 以上,市场结构就仍具建设性:参与者正在兑现利润,同时市场维持着吸收能力。关键失效水平很明确:若指标持续跌破 1 阈值,则意味着市场重新开始以亏损处理代币,将削弱当前的建设性信号。
比特币不仅再次在以盈利状态被卖出,而且这一过程具有持续性。这种持续性将 aSOPR 转化为反映市场内部改善的建设性信号,这是自 2025 年 10 月至 11 月以来最显著的正向序列。
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